Aqueduct: Thursday, 1/6, Plays - Pete's Picks
- Little Pete
- Jan 6, 2022
- 4 min read
Thursday at Aqueduct and we have the entire card covered. We each will have a "Play of the Day" to start the day off and then I will be locked into a spot pick 3 (Races 3-5). Big Pete will be focused on the late pick 3 (Races 6-8). We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $ 1.00 Spot Pick 3:
R3: 1, 3, 4, 7
R4: 2, 3
R5: 2, 5, 6
Cost: $ 24.00
Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3:
R6: 1, 2
R7: 1, 2, 5
R8: 1, 2, 3, 7
Cost: $ 24.00
Little Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 1:
(3) Dreampoint has the experience and getting back to dirt will not hinder this horse's ability to win. I expect Kendrick to be aggressive early to have this horse placed towards the front in order to have a late chance to run past tiring horses. This is a spread out field, so I like taking the morning line price in here to kick off the day.
$3.00 WPS 3 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 3 w/ 1,2,4,6 Cost: $8.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 2:
Waters of Merom will take a lot of money off her romp. Brown ships her in and tries winners for the first. To me, it's a perfect time to bet against. I liked the way (3) SARATOGA KISSES closed in her last and McCarthy returns. She has speed to position herself early and I'm guessing she'll stay a little closer today as the track has been kind to agreessive riding so far. Rudy adds L1 and they have a little speed outside them to target.
$ 7.00 WPS 3 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 3, 4, 5 Cost $ 18.00
Little Pete's Spot Pick 3:
Race 3:
The entries (1/1A) are Rudy Rodriguez horses that should be included with an improved effort this time out with the class drop and experience. I will be trying out (3) Analysis in this one under Jose Lezcano with the expectation that this horse comes with a late kick. (4) Marathoner will improve second time out with Jose Ortiz getting the mount. (7) Pipito is my last play who will be looking to improve with the class drop and have a late kick.
$3.00 WPS 4 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 1,4 w/ 1,3,4,7 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 3,7 w/ 1,3,4,7 Cost: $6.00
Race 4:
I was looking forward to betting against (1) Beautiful Karen as she figured to take some money in here. Unfortunately, (2) Big Q will now attract more attention. She gets some class relief and will be sitting behind the pace and wait for the lane to open up late to try and catch the front runners. (3) High School Crush is my other play who will be closing strongly and have a chance if there is any early pace battle.
$5.00 Ex Box 2, 3 Cost: $ 10.00
Race 5:
I will be including the two heavy morning line favorites, (2) Incontrovertible & (6) Exfiltration, who should be towards the lead and could be too good for the field. (5) Reeley Psyched is my last play who I think will be waiting for the stretch to run down the front runners and have a real shot late.
$3.00 Ex Box 2,5,6 Cost: $18.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 6:
(2) SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN just missed against similar and gets Jose back. She didn’t get away that well that day and should show a little more speed which will be helpful on this track. (1) CHLOE ROSE has speed and will most likely flaunt it. She hasn’t been this long in a while so she may need a breather down the backstretch to take them all the way. .
$ 10.00 WPS 2 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 1, 2, 4 Cost $ 18.00
Race 7:
(1A) SHESALITTLE EDGY has a rabbit in (1) SPUN D’ETAT but she is more than capable of going the distance. Edgy will sit chilly and come with a run late. (2) EASY TO BLESS seems to like this Aqueduct oval with a win and a 2nd. She has a nose for the wire and her stalking style fit like a glove in here. (5) JUST READ IT is the one I want. Both trips with L1 are her two best performances and she gets it today. Lezcano climbs aboard and both her wins came on this track.
$ 7.00 WPS 5 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 1, 2, 5 Cost $ 18.00
Race 8:
We’ll spread out here as MSW go 1M. I like the two exiting the truf event in early December. (1) SWEET LIES didn’t have any energy early and moved forward through the stretch. L1 is added so maybe there was some breathing issue? Vargas is off to a good start. (3) CAPE COD CAUSEWAY finished ahead of Sweat Lies and also gets L1. She may be better suited for dirt and if any left over moisture, that won’t be an issue. (2) BIG BEAN CHRISTINE should be on the engine and gets in light. Speed has been dangerous so if they leave her alone, she will be tough to reel in. The price will be to our liking and Teddy likes her too. (7) TONIGHT WE LOVE comes in for the hot Nevin. I’m drawing a line through her debut race and expecting her to come out running today. She’s bred top & bottom to like this 1M distance.
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