Aqueduct: Sunday, 12/5 Plays - Pete's Picks
- Little Pete
- Dec 5, 2021
- 5 min read
We have the entire card covered today at Aqueduct and we hope that you are playing along. We have had a NET POSITIVE week and look to end the same way. I will be locked into the early double (Races 1 & 2) and a spot pick 3 (Races 5-7). Big Pete will have his full breakdown on his "Play of the Day" and the late pick 3 (Races 8-10). We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $ 2.00 Early Double:
R1: 3, 7, 8, 10
R2: 3, 5, 7
Cost: $24.00
Little Pete's $ 1.00 Spot Pick 3:
R5: 3, 4, 6
R6: 4, 7, 14, 15
R7: 1, 3, 6, 8
Cost: $48.00
Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3:
R8: 2, 7, 10
R9: 7, 9, 10, 11
R10: 1, 2, 4, 7
Cost: $ 48.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 1:
(3) Frosted Bourbon has the early speed and the post position to find the lead and be a tough catch late. (7) Spun for Lu Lu is a horse I like to close strongly against this field come stretch drive. (8) Live in Five is my top pick in here who will be right behind the pace and wait for the lane to open up to run a big race. (10) Roxen is my last play who will navigate a trip to the front early and I think will have enough in the tank late to make it very interesting.
$3.00 WPS 8 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 3,8 w/ 3,7,8,10 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 7,10 w/ 3,7,8,10 Cost: $6.00
Race 2:
(3) Al's Rocket is my top pick in here and that would make it a Kendrick Carmouche early double for me. This horse has proven the ability to handle the distance and will be running a similar style race on the lead and will be a tough catch late. (5) Order of Magnitude is going to improve from the debut race and run a late closing race and if there is some early pace, then this horse will have the lane. (7) Empire Ridge is my last play who will also show some early speed and I think getting back to grass will greatly benefit this horse. Dylan will place this horse on the rail and wait for the lane to open up to run a strong finish.
$3.00 WPS 3 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex Box 3,5,7 Cost: $12.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 3:
(5) STORMI CAT LADY met a salty group of AlwNW1X in her first attempt against winners. She now moves down to NW2L claimers and gets the hungry McCarthy. If she can bounce back to her maiden run, she’ll be tough against this level. She will need some speed up front but I think she gets it.
(3) Handle The Truth or (7) Red Pepper Grill will follow her move for 2nd.
$ 7.00 WPS 5 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 3, 5, 7 Cost $ 18.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 4:
The favorite, (3) DREAMS OF TOMORROW has been facing better this Fall and may have found the right field today. The 2 month gap is the only eye sore but his last race was very fast and he may have just needed more time.
I’ll use with (2) Journeyman and (7) Bodecream as well.
$ 7.00 WPS 3 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 2, 3, 7 Cost $ 18.00
Little Pete's Spot Pick 3:
Race 5:
(6) The Important One is a worthy single and a must play, but I like two others in here with better post positions. (3) Trinni Luck is going to be able to find the early rail position and has the speed to keep up with the front runners. I think that pays off late with a late surge to try and hit the wire first. (4) Bank Sting is coming in strong and has proven the ability to wire a field. I think that Dylan will be aggressive throughout and will be a tough foe to the heavy favorite throughout.
$3.00 WPS 3 Cost: $9.00
$3.00 Ex 3 w/ 4,6 Cost: $6.00
$2.00 Ex 4,6 w/ 3,4,6 Cost: $8.00
Race 6:
(4) Nikostratos is going to have the rail position and coming into this one in good form. I am trusting Manny to keep this horse involved throughout and find the lane late to run by tiring horses. (7) Excursionniste is a speed horse that will have the placement early to be a tough catch late. (14) Your Mission drops into this one with the early scratches and looks dangerous to the outside. This horse will navigate to be towards the front in this one and be extremely strong late. (15) Spettro is going to shoot out of the gate and find the lead or sit behind it. This horse is exiting his best performance to date and I think we take another step up in this one.
$3.00 WPS 14 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 4,14 w/ 4,7,14,15 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 7,15 w/ 4,7,14,15 Cost: $6.00
Race 7:
(1) Relate is a promising 2 year old from the Asmussen barn and we should anticipate this horse to be sent towards the front and have plenty of legs to run a huge debut. (3) BossMakinBossMoves is typically a horse I would try and beat, but this horse has the experience and should improve in this race against a field of inexperienced horses. (6) Pineapple Man has those bullet workouts coming in and Javier has been running well lately; I will trust him aboard this firster. (8) Eminency is a Rudy Rodriguez firster that has been training well coming in and I typically do not like to invest on his firster's but this horse seems ready to run first time out.
$3.00 WPS 6 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 1,6 w/ 1,3,6,8 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 3,8 w/ 1,3,6,8 Cost: $6.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 8:
(2) PANSTER has put back to back runs that make him tough in here. They were at route distances and now he cuts back to 6F. He broke his maiden sprinting so he figures to be a handful. (10) VETERANS BEACH dropped and popped last time but has been competitive against this group in the past. McCarthy is a good fit. I want (7) CITY MISCHIEF getting back on the turf. Cancel is timing these races just right so look for him coming at the end. A bullet on 11/17 for this jumps off the page.
$ 7.00 WPS 7 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex 7, 10 w/ 1, 2, 7, 10 Cost $ 18.00
Race 9:
(7) BRAZILLIONAIRE will likely go early but will need the other speeds to back off. (9) TACKLE is the other one that might go so if one can shake loose, they will have the advantage. The one that figures to get the set up he needs is (11) SIDD FINCH. He has back to back runs where he was coming home strong at the end. I think he found the right group and finally gets to the wire first. I have to include long shot (10) SUPER WICKED CHARM in here. He closed with Sidd last time getting to within a length of that one. It may come down to trips between these two and the price is right.
$ 7.00 WPS 11 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex 7, 11 w/ 7, 9, 10, 11 Cost $ 18.00
Race 10:
We’ll finish this late pick 3 with (4) MY BOY TATE. He may have had his best year in 2021 at 7yrs old, 4 wins and 2 seconds. He just looks better than these but the price won’t be that great. I will lean on (7) WILD BANKER on the cut back to 6F. He two had a great year and was flattered by Americanrevolution’s big run yesterday. (2) MARKET ALERT posted a big number last time out and followed that up with bullet last week. He looks like the now horse as the rest of this field is weak. (1) JEMOGRAPHY needs the race to collapse and you can’t rule that out.
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