Aqueduct: Sunday, 11/28 Plays - Pete's Picks
- Little Pete
- Nov 28, 2021
- 5 min read
Sunday card at Aqueduct and we have the entire card covered. I will be locked into the early double (Races 1 & 2) and a spot pick 3 (Races 5-7). Big Pete will have his full breakdown on his "Play of the Day" and the late pick 3 (Races 8-10). We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $ 2.00 Early Double:
R1: 3, 5, 6, 9
R2: 2, 3, 9
Cost: $24.00
Little Pete's $ 1.00 Spot Pick 3:
R5: 1, 11, 12
R6: 4, 6, 8
R7: 1, 2, 3, 4
Cost: $ 36.00
Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3:
R8 2, 5, 7
R9: 3, 7, 9, 10
R10: 3, 4, 6, 8
Cost: $ 48.00
Little Pete's Early Double:
Race 1:
(3) Paratus has been impressive in his two races and should improve this time out; a must play for me. (5) City at Night is another horse that has been continuing to improve each time out and could have run into the field that breaks his maiden. (6) Ruthenian is a horse I like to be closing strongly and the added distance should benefit this horse. My last play will be (9) Wick Loves a Fight who will be my TOP PICK in here. This horse has been training lights out and Kendrick will give this horse an aggressive ride throughout.
$3.00 WPS 9 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 3,9 w/ 3,5,6,9 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 5,6 w/ 3,5,6,9 Cost: $6.00
Race 2:
(2) More Good Times is coming in strong and the post position will allow this horse to sit on the rail and save ground throughout. This horse runs her best late in races and should be poised for a strong finish. (3) Kissing Frogs is taking a steep drop in class and should be forwardly placed throughout. This horse will try and win on the front end and may be too tough of an ask for this field. (9) Lady Fatima is a horse I really like in here to be towards the front early. I trust Dylan Davis to get this horse in a nice position early and that pays off dividends late.
$3.00 WPS 3 Cost: $9.00
$3.00 Ex Box 2,3,9 Cost: $18.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 3:
Bustin Bay has the numbers to control this group but with the layoff and drop, I have to look elsewhere as he could be damaged goods. I want to give (6) GENTLE ANNIE a shot as she didn’t get away well when trying much better mares last time. Prior to that, she hit the board in 4 straight and has found the right field for this 6yr old mare.
(3) Bustin Bay can hold on or (4) Gringotts came come late for 2nd.
$ 7.00 WPS 6 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 3, 4, 6 Cost $ 18.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 4:
Another heavy favorite, Water’s Edge, that looks desperate for a win. He couldn’t beat off the turf runners last time and meets a better field today. With the scratch of Full Moon Fever, I now leaning on (5) SCOTTO to come late like he did in last. Rudy stretches him out and calls on McCarthy. His works are spread out nicely for a big run today.
I’ll use with (1) Water's Edge and (4) Emperor’s Cause.
$ 7.00 WPS 5 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 1, 4, 5 Cost $ 18.00
Little Pete's Spot Pick 3:
Race 5:
(1) Action Jackson has the rail position and should be able to save ground throughout. I think that pays off late and this horse will be dangerous at a decent price. (11) Mr. Connecticut is the clear favorite in here and the horse to beat. This horse just may be too good for the field and a must play. (12) Umbria is another horse that will be coming in strong late and has some impressive races under his belt.
$3.00 WPS 12 Cost: $9.00
$3.00 Ex Box 1,11,12 Cost: $18.00
Race 6:
(4) Chris and Dave looks good coming into this one with a win and a bullet workout. I think Lezcano will be able to sit right behind the pace and find the lane late to challenge for the wire. (6) Prioritize is facing an inferior field than what he ran into the last two. This horse is running well and McCarthy will give this horse a great ride throughout which makes this horse a strong play. (8) First Constitution is a horse that has two triple digit beyer speed races coming in and Saez will continue to push this horse to the winner’s circle; must play for me.
$3.00 WPS 8 Cost: $9.00
$3.00 Ex Box 4,6,8 Cost: $18.00
Race 7:
(1) Change of Control has the speed and rail position to be on the lead or sitting right behind it. This horse has been training lights out and was set on running in this stakes race. (2) Love and Thunder is a Chad Brown horse that continues to deliver each time out. I think this horse does best on the lead and will be a tough catch late. (3) Too Sexy is the winner of the bunch and a must play. Lezcano will sit behind the pace and wait for the lane and have a convincing stretch drive. (4) Piedi Bianchi is an impressive horse and I like horses projected for the lead. I hope Castellano is aggressive enough to get this horse in the correct position and run an impressive race.
$3.00 WPS 3 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 1,3 w/ 1,2,3,4 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 2,4 w/ 1,2,3,4 Cost: $6.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 8:
A lot of speed entered in this G3 Fall Highweight so I’ll lean on the stalker (5) WENDELL FONG. He didn’t run a lick in the Bold Ruler last time but prior t that, his Tom Fool most likely would win this. They get Trever back and will try to run them down late. (2) GREEN LIGHT GO is also interesting with the cutback to 6F. His best efforts are sprinting and Davis gets the call. Of the speeds, (7) ROUGH ENTRY is coming in with five wins in a row before falling last time. Saez gets the mount and he will be the horse to pass late for he cash.
$ 7.00 WPS 5 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex 5, 7 w/ 1, 2, 5, 7 Cost $ 18.00
Race 9:
Lezcano subbing in for Irad on (10) CAIRONI doesn’t change much. She had a big finish to just miss in the Chelsey Flower after a tough start. I’m expecting a Re-Pete of that finish today. She likely have to pass (9) MISCHIEVOUS KISS at some point as she will be up close and move sooner. The danger will come from (7) ANADOR. She won first time in the States and posted a big number doing it. Davis returns and they should be heard from late. Saez lands on Laurel shipper, (3) VERGARA, in here. She stretched out nicely as that’s what these Noble Mission’s do. She’s a price and very live.
$ 7.00 WPS 10 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex 7, 10 w/ 3, 7, 9, 10 Cost $ 18.00
Race 10:
(8) FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS almost graduated last time and now cuts back for this. She’ll be a short price but a major player to end this pick 3. Rice is a little cold right now so I’ll try and be her. (3) GAILHORSEWIND also shortens up and McCarthy climbs aboard. She’s been facing better and this Flintshire will show her closing kick through the stretch today. (6) GENETIC GEM is a firster with fast works and breeding to suggest the turf is for her. (4) BOSS CARA probably can’t win but is capable of climbing into the exacta.
Comments