Aqueduct 11/22 Pick 3 Plays
- Little Pete
- Nov 22, 2020
- 5 min read
We are looking to close the weekend off with a couple of cashed tickets. We will be keying in on our pick 3 plays that cover the pick 6 sequence at Aqueduct. I will be focusing in on races 5-7 and Big Pete will be keying in on races 8-10. We also will have our "Play of the Day" on a race we think we can make some money on. Make sure to subscribe to the newsletter to receive new blog post notifications and a weekly blog sent to your email. GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $1.00 Spot Pick 3:
R5: 1, 7
R6: 1, 5, 9, 11
R7: 1, 6, 8, 9, 12
Cost: $40.00
Big Pete's $1.00 Late Pick 3:
R8: 1, 4, 6, 8
R9: 5, 7
R10: 2, 7, 8, 11
Cost: $32.00
Little Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 4:
I am thinking there is going to be an early pace battle between (1) Ms Boombastic and (2) Sengekontacket which opens up late closers. This is why I really like (7) Valletta to come surging late and win this one. I think Manny will allow this filly to find her footing early and fan out wide come stretch drive and take this one. I also like (6) Wicked Happy and (8) Malibu Anthem to also be closing strongly and have a nice exacta hit out of this.
$5.00 WPS 7 Cost: $15.00
$3.00 Ex 7 w/ 6,8 Cost: $6.00
$2.00 Ex 6,8 w/ 6,7,8 Cost: $8.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 1:
We’ll try to fatten the bankroll with the First race of the day. (9) MAKOTO shipped in last time and showed some speed against MSW competition. She now drops to a spot where she belongs. Franco gets the leg up which, to me, indicates it’s now or never with this gelding. Look for them to take control early and get to the wire first
We’ll use him on top and look for two runners to pass tiring horses for our exacta.
(4) Broadway Joe and (7) Kith
$ 7.00 Exacta 9 w/ 4, 7 Cost $ 14.00
We’ll also use Makoto in this race and try to cash in on a DAILY DOUBLE play.
(7) Doubly Blessed and (12) Super Wicked Charm in the 2nd
$ 7.00 Double 9 w/ 7, 12 Cost $ 14.00
Little Pete's Spot Pick 3:
Race 5:
The inside horse, (1) Brattle House, sold for $775K and looks to be much the best in here. This horse is should be considered a single in here, but I am going to include a horse I think will enjoy the stretch out and close strongly. That horse is (7) Flower's Fortune. I think that this is (1) Brattle House's race to lose and do not expect Rosario to mess around in this one and put this filly on the front and not look back.
$10.00 WIN 1 Cost: $10.00
$5.00 Ex Box 1,7 Cost: $10.00
Race 6:
Rosario may double these first two legs of the pick 3. This horse has been running consistently well and will be forwardly placed; love that combo (1) Twelfth Labour. I also really like (5) Smile Bryan who I think will stalk the early pace and have plenty of horse late to run this field down. (11) Macho Jack is going to be on the lead early and could run on with it. I think Irad will shoot this horse to the front from the outside post and challenge this claiming field to pass late. (9) Dr. Devera's Way is an interesting horse in here for me. I think that this horse is going to be sent to sit behind the pace and if the race breaks down I think we can trust this horse to continue running on; which could be all this horse needs.
$3.00 WPS 1 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 1,11 w/ 1,5,9,11 Cost: $12.00
$1.00 Ex 5,9 w/ 1,5,9,11 Cost: $6.00
Race 7:
I am going to close with five in here with my top selection being (12) Bad Guy. I think this horse is coming in with pretty good form and think that this horse will be able to run into some fast early fractions, which sets this horse up extremely well from the outside. (1) Sanctuary City looks beatable in here, but I do not feel comfortable leaving off the ticket with the preferable post position. Carmouche will place this horse in the back and run on with it late and could be all she wrote. (6) Austrian is an interesting horse in here for me who will be closing strongly late and getting Manny aboard. I think that he will be more aggressive on this horse early and allow the horse to save ground throughout. (8) Advanced Strategy looks extremely dangerous and this could be a Rosario PK3, so will get the nod from me. (9) Mr. Kringle is going to get an aggressive ride from Lezcano in here and if they allow him to dictate the fractions then I think that this horse can wire the field.
$3.00 WPS 12 Cost: $9.00
$2.00 Ex 1,12 w/ 1,6,8,9,12 Cost: $16.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 8:
Nothing clever to start this late Pk3. Rosario may have been caught sleeping on (4) TIMELESS JOURNEY last time. Tried to close from the parking lot and it wasn’t happening. You may see them a little closer to the front today and come home strong late. (6) KILEA is your main speed and will give the others fits if left alone. Lezcano is riding well so I expect this gal to have something left in the tank turning for home. (1) MIKE’S GIRL will get overlooked in this spot, but has some races that make her competitive with these. Davis fits well. Clements other (8) PANDAMOM, will try to press the pace to set up her stable mate. Firm ground may make her last a little longer.
$7.00 WPS 4 Cost: $21.00
$3.00 Ex 4,6 w/ 1,4,6,8 Cost: $18.00
Race 9:
I’ll only use two in here to make this an affordable Pk3. (5) PRAIRE FIREis a must use after her strong finish in the Iroquois. Rice makes the jock switch so were all business today. The extra distance won’t be an issue. The other in here I like is (7) SADIE LADY She’s looks dangerous as lone speed today. She’s coming off a mini vacation but the works are steady and Carmouche likes to navigate the front end. I think she forgets to stop today and goes all the way. I’ll look for (2 BANKERS DAUGHTER to pass the others late to give us some value underneath.
$7.00 WPS 7 Cost: $21.00
$5.00 Ex 5,7 w/ 2,5,7 Cost: $20.00
Race 10:
We’ll spread out here in the finale. (8) EIGHTY SEVEN NORTH moves back to the grass for Donk. She likes to come late and grab a piece but today may be her day. Beat a few of these three back at the Spa and gets a similar oval to do it again. The other one I’ll use on top is (7) TORNADO CROSSING. This gal closed fast in that same race and was a length from 87 North. I like the bug getting on and she looks good losing the weight. (2) TWICE A LADY looks like a trap. Ran well to get fourth in her debut but now drops. That’s not a great move for Maker but Irad sticks so we’ll use underneath. (11) MEMORIES ETERNAL will take some money and may show some more speed today with Carmouche up.
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