Belmont: Thursday 11/5 Plays R8 - Pete's Picks
Eight races on this Thursday action from Belmont Park. They may dodge the rain. I will be condensing my plays down to just the numbers and attacking the early double starting in R2 (Races 1 & 2) and a spot pick 3 (Races 3-5). Big Pete will attack his "Play of the Day" and the late pick 3 (Races 6-8). We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $ 10.00 Early Double:
R1: 1, 2
R2: 5, 6 Cost: $ 20.00
R3: 1, 7, 8
R4: 4, 5, 7
R5: 2, 3, 7 Cost: $ 27.00
Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3:
R6: 1, 3, 4
R7: 2, 6, 9
R8: 1, 8, 9 Cost: $ 27.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 3:
(1) AZIZAM has been facing better in most of his starts. They dropped him to this level last time and it made a difference. They cut him back more and give Castellano another shot. Not many winning types in this group so the class edge should be the deciding factor.
I’ll use (7) Navy Chief and (8) Lord Chatham underneath for the exacta.
$ 7.00 WPS 1 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 1, 7, 8 Cost $ 18.00
We’ll also use (1) Azizam in R3 and try to cash in on a Daily Double.
(4) Bourbon Hangover and (5) Ace In Hand in the 4th.
$ 7.00 Daily Double 1 w/ 4, 5 Cost $ 14.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 6:
(3) ELIMINATE comes in with subpar races after his blowout win back in June. He has trouble getting out of the gate. If Carmouche can manage to get position early, he becomes a big threat late. Brown puts (4) GENERAL PARTNER back on the dirt after two turf tries. He was left with too much to do and tried to close in on some easy leads. He should be primed for a good effort today. The danger is (1) AMBERJACK. He looks to be the controlling speed. In both 7F attempts, he had to face pressure, but today looks a lot easier for him with no other speed to bother him. He'll try to run away turning for home.
$ 7.00 WPS 1 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 1, 3, 4 Cost $ 18.00
Race 7:
(2) CLEAR CONSCIENCE is a little interesting on the drop. He's been facing better for most of his career and has not been getting his picture much, but he's been collecting checks. He gets a group that he can compete against here. I don't care for the favorite getting this 9F, so I'm taking a stand against today. I am leaning heavily on the runner-up to Ice Chocolat last time. (6) CLASSIC CREATION is the one I want. Fresu woke this Classic Empire gelding up last time and is expected to get better with distance added on. Kantarmaci adds speed to the race to help force the issue. This will likely give the top two closers that needed pace to make their late kick count. Both look strong in here. As a sleeper, I'll include (9) BELOUNI who goes out first time for Maker. Even though this barn is struggling at this meet, they still can turn it around quickly.
$ 7.00 WPS 6 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex Box 2, 6, 9 Cost $ 18.00
Race 8:
(8) BERTRILLE is waking up a little. Her last two were better than they look as she was gaining into slow fractions two back and needed more ground in a fast 1M race. Makes the switch to Rajiv today. (9) MONEY RAIL is one of four exiting the same race and this filly ran the best of them. She too won't mind the extra distance and Dylan returns. This race lacks speed and Johnny V sticks around for the finale on the possible lone speed (1) CALL ME PRECIOUS. This filly hasn't had a Hall of Fame rider before, so this can likely raise her speed figures several digits. She can settle in and boss this with the Goat Up.
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